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Week 11 NFL Breakdown

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Steelers @ Browns:  After throwing for 400+ yards against Dallas last week it looks like Big Ben can be relied upon to be his old self.  Unfortunately, his home/road splits have been Drew Breesesque lately.  Then again, does playing in Cleveland against the Browns’ awful pass defense really qualify as a “road game”?  Why not hedge and take Ben’s weapons Antonio Brown and LeVeon Bell instead.  Their floor is high and their ceiling is higher.
Ravens @ Cowboys:  Everyone is talking about Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot, and Dez Bryant.  What about stacking Joe Flacco (just $5500 at and his favorite target Steve Smith Sr.?  Cowboys are rolling but their defense can be had.
Jaguars @ Lions:  With multiple touchdown games in his last three starts, it looks like Blake Bortles is making his annual late season/garbage time run that will cause 2017 fantasy owners to question themselves: “is this the year Bortles arrives?”.  This week he is going against a Lion defense that allows the 4thmost fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.  At $6800 Bortles still a little pricey relative to some safer options.  (ie his opponent Stafford $7100).
Titans @ Colts:  Mariota is on fire and Indianapolis’ D is like adding gas.  Fantasy Factor has provided players with a challenge by appropriately making the Titan’s QB this week’s 2nd most expensive quarterback.  The Colts are also terrible against TEs and Mariota’s favorite target Delanie Walker is this week’s most pricey one.  Titans’ D has been getting tougher, but Andrew Luck should be up to the task of making up for the Colts’ failure to put up defensive resistance.
Bills @ Bengals:  Tyrod Taylor is getting a lot of mentions as a “sneaky” QB pick for this week, but how can you trust his weapons?  With Tyler Eifert back, and Buffalo’s recent struggles on pass defense wouldn’t Andy Dalton, who’s a click cheaper make more sense?  Shady McCoy is a safe pick with upside and priced the same as the other most expensive running backs. ($8000)
Buccaneers @ Chiefs:  With a struggling young QB and a bad defense that is getting worse, this is a tough spot for the Bucs.  The Chiefs should be able to do whatever they want on offense, so a “protect a big lead and let’s go home” game script is probable.  Spencer Ware would be the beneficiary of this type of game, but at $7600 he’s not sneaking on anyone’s roster.
Bears @ Giants:   The Giants’ defense might be the play here.  Sack prone, pick prone Jay Cutler is now without his favorite target Alshon Jeffery, while the Giant defense, especially their pass rush, is playing much better as of late.  Even when at full strength the Bears just couldn’t score.

Cardinals @ Vikings:  Though Vikings have been getting gashed by the run lately, a revved up home crowd maybe just what they need to recapture their early season dominance.  Even if he does get stuffed running the ball, David Johnson still needs to be considered because of his passing game prowess.  He is safe, albeit expensive.  Stay away from Stefon Diggs.  According to Arizona’s coaching staff Patrick Peterson will be following him into the slot.
Dolphins @ Rams:  With an unknown quantity in rookie QB Jared Goff getting his first start for the Rams, and a very good defense ready to stop the visiting Dolphins, this is not a game to look for players you can trust.
Patriots @ 49ers:  Expect the Patriots to jump out to an early lead via Brady Edelman and Bennett (no Gronk this week) and then play keep away with a steady dose of Blount.  Believe it or not Colin Kaepernick in averaging just .75 fppg less than Russell Wilson.
Eagles @ Seahawks:  If last Sunday’s game was an indication that Seattle’s offensive line woes are a thing of the past, then Russell Wilson is a cheap option with high upside at $5800.  Thomas Rawls is back and that will muddy the waters at running back.  For this week however, CJ Prosise should see a starter’s share of three down work.   Eagle’s weekly workloads are way too unpredictable for their matchup against a ferocious Seahawk home defense.
Packers @ Redskins:  Vegas has made Sunday night’s game the highest total of the week.  Though Rodgers is by far the most expensive QB, don’t expect 40+ attempts into the teeth of the strongest aspect of Washington’s defense.  Look for Packer’s to try and establish more balance, though that strategy could all change in the event Green Bay falls behind because of their reeling defense.  Cousins, Reed, Garcon, and Kelley can all be trusted to produce.
Texans @ Raiders:  Futbol Americano visits Azteca Stadium in Mexico City.  Consider streaming the Raider D, playing well of late, against the Texans who struggle greatly at the QB position.   For that reason it would be tough to trust any Texans’ players including work horse Lamar Miller.   Texans’ defense is also tough but don’t be surprised if Carr Cooper and/or Crabtree shine under the lights.

Enjoy the games this week. Any comments on the above welcome at the Fantasy Factor Forum

(Psssst. There is a hidden **Winner Take All FORUM FREEROLL** link in the forum post)